Assessing species vulnerability to climate change

被引：0

作者：

Pacifici M. ^{[1
,2
]}

Foden W.B. ^{[2
,3
]}

Visconti P. ^{[1
,4
]}

Watson J.E.M. ^{[2
,5
,6
]}

Butchart S.H.M. ^{[2
,7
]}

Kovacs K.M. ^{[2
,8
]}

Scheffers B.R. ^{[2
,9
]}

Hole D.G. ^{[2
,10
]}

Martin T.G. ^{[2
,11
,12
]}

Akçakaya H.R. ^{[2
,13
]}

Corlett R.T. ^{[2
,14
]}

Huntley B. ^{[2
,15
]}

Bickford D. ^{[2
,16
]}

Carr J.A. ^{[2
,17
]}

Hoffmann A.A. ^{[2
,18
]}

Midgley G.F. ^{[2
,19
]}

Pearce-Kelly P. ^{[2
,20
]}

Pearson R.G. ^{[2
,21
]}

Williams S.E. ^{[2
,9
]}

Willis S.G. ^{[15
]}

Young B. ^{[2
,22
]}

Rondinini C. ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, Viale dell'Università 32, Rome

[2] Climate Change Specialist Group, Species Survival Commission, IUCN, 28 rue Mauverney, Gland

[3] School of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, Wits

[4] Microsoft Research Computational Science Laboratory, 21 Station Road, Cambridge

[5] School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, University of Queensland, Brisbane, 4072, QLD

[6] Global Conservation Program, Wildlife Conservation Society, 2300 Southern Boulevard, Bronx, 10460, NY

[7] BirdLife International, Wellbrook Court, Girton Road, Cambridge

[8] Norwegian Polar Institute, FRAM Centre, Tromsø

[9] Centre for Tropical Biodiversity and Climate Change, School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University of North Queensland, Townsville, 4811, QLD

[10] Science and Knowledge Division, Conservation International, 2011 Crystal Drive, Arlington, 22202, VA

[11] ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, NERP Environmental Decisions Hub, University of Queensland, Brisbane, 4072, QLD

[12] CSIRO Land and Water, Ecosciences Precinct, Dutton Park, Brisbane, 4102, QLD

[13] Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, 11794, NY

[14] Center for Integrative Conservation, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Gardens, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Yunnan

[15] School of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Durham University, South Road, Durham

[16] Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore

[17] Climate Change Unit, IUCN Global Species Programme, 189 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge

[18] Department of Genetics, Bio21 Institute, University of Melbourne, 3010, VIC

[19] Africa Department of Botany and Zoology, University of Stellenbosch, P/Bag X1, Matieland, Stellenbosch

[20] Zoological Society of London, Regent's Park, London

[21] Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, Department of Genetics, Evolution and Environment, University College London, Gower Street, London

[22] NatureServe, 4600 N. Fairfax Drive, Arlington, 22203, VA

来源：

Nature Climate Change | 2015年 / 5卷 / 3期

基金：

美国国家科学基金会; 英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/nclimate2448

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

The effects of climate change on biodiversity are increasingly well documented, and many methods have been developed to assess species' vulnerability to climatic changes, both ongoing and projected in the coming decades. To minimize global biodiversity losses, conservationists need to identify those species that are likely to be most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. In this Review, we summarize different currencies used for assessing species' climate change vulnerability. We describe three main approaches used to derive these currencies (correlative, mechanistic and trait-based), and their associated data requirements, spatial and temporal scales of application and modelling methods. We identify strengths and weaknesses of the approaches and highlight the sources of uncertainty inherent in each method that limit projection reliability. Finally, we provide guidance for conservation practitioners in selecting the most appropriate approach(es) for their planning needs and highlight priority areas for further assessments.

引用

页码：215 / 225

页数：10

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