More is different ... and complex! the case for agent-based macroeconomics

被引:0
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作者
Giovanni Dosi
Andrea Roventini
机构
[1] Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna,EMbeDS and Institute of Economics
[2] OFCE,undefined
[3] Sciences Po,undefined
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关键词
Macroeconomics; Economic policy; Keynesian theory; New neoclassical synthesis; New Keynesian models; DSGE models; Agent-based evolutionary models; Complexity theory; Great recession; Crisis; B41; B50; E32; E52;
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摘要
This work nests the Agent-Based macroeconomic perspective into the earlier history of macroeconomics. We discuss how the discipline in the 70’s took a perverse path relying on models grounded on fictitious rational representative agent in order to try to pathetically circumvent aggregation and coordination problems. The Great Recession was a natural experiment for macroeconomics, showing the inadequacy of the predominant theoretical framework grounded on DSGE models. After discussing the pathological fallacies of the DSGE-based approach, we claim that macroeconomics should consider the economy as a complex evolving system, i.e. as an ecology populated by heterogenous agents, whose far-from-equilibrium interactions continuously change the structure of the system. This in turn implies that more is different: macroeconomics cannot be shrink to representative-agent micro, but agents’ complex interactions lead to emergence of new phenomena and hierarchical structure at the macro level. This is what is taken into account by agent-based models, which provide a novel way to model complex economies from the bottom-up, with sound empirically-based microfoundations. We present the foundations of Agent-Based macroeconomics and we discuss how the contributions of this special issue push its frontier forward. Finally, we conclude by discussing the ways ahead for the fully acknowledgement of agent-based models as the standard way of theorizing in macroeconomics.
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页码:1 / 37
页数:36
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