Statistical data analysis of the 1995 Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo

被引：40

作者：

Ndanguza D. ^{[1
]}

Tchuenche J.M. ^{[2
]}

Haario H. ^{[3
]}

机构：

[1] Department of Applied Mathematics, Kigali Institute of Science and Technology, P.O. Box 3900, Kigali

[2] Mathematics Department, University of Dar es Salaam, Box 35062, Dar es Salaam

[3] Department of Mathematics and Physics, Lappeenranta University of Technology, P.O. Box 20

来源：

Afrika Matematika | 2013年 / 24卷 / 1期

关键词：

Analysis; Ebola; Estimates; Least squares; Posterior distribution; SEIR;

D O I：

10.1007/s13370-011-0039-5

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Ebola is a lethal viral hemorrhagic fever with the potential to cause major epidemics. We analyse the 1995 outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo using two sets of data (onset and death data). Numerical simulations showed that the model fits the observed onset Ebola data at 99.95% and the observed death data at 98.6%. Since Bayesian inference cannot be performed analytically for complex models, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm is then used as the second approach to obtain a solution. Results obtained from both approaches are contrasted and compared. © 2011 African Mathematical Union and Springer-Verlag.

引用

页码：55 / 68

页数：13

共 50 条

[31] The Ebola Resurgence in Democratic Republic of Congo
Sah, Ranjit
Mohanty, Aroop
Mehta, Vibha
Satapathy, Prakasini
Padhi, Bijaya Kumar
Rodriguez-Morales, Alfonso J.
ANNALS OF MEDICINE AND SURGERY, 2022, 82
[32] Update on Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Kaye, Donald
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2019, 68 (05) : I - I
[33] Update on Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Kaye, Donald
CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2019, 68 (07) : I - I
[34] Rapid drop in the reproduction number during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Althaus, Christian L.
PEERJ, 2015, 3
[35] Dynamics of conflict during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2018–2019
Moritz U. G. Kraemer
David M. Pigott
Sarah C. Hill
Samantha Vanderslott
Robert C. Reiner
Stephanie Stasse
John S. Brownstein
Bernardo Gutierrez
Francis Dennig
Simon I. Hay
G. R. William Wint
Oliver G. Pybus
Marcia C. Castro
Patrick Vinck
Phuong N. Pham
Eric J. Nilles
Simon Cauchemez
BMC Medicine, 18
[36] Ebola virus outbreak returns to the Democratic Republic of Congo: An urgent rising concern
Sun, Jeffrey
Uwishema, Olivier
Kassem, Hadi
Abbass, Mortada
Uweis, Lama
Rai, Anushree
El Saleh, Rayyan
Adanur, Irem
Onyeaka, Helen
ANNALS OF MEDICINE AND SURGERY, 2022, 79
[37] Clinical Evaluation of QuickNaviTM-Ebola in the 2018 Outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Makiala, Sheila
Mukadi, Daniel
De Weggheleire, Anja
Muramatsu, Shino
Kato, Daisuke
Inano, Koichi
Gondaira, Fumio
Kajihara, Masahiro
Yoshida, Reiko
Changula, Katendi
Mweene, Aaron
Mbala-Kingebeni, Placide
Muyembe-Tamfum, Jean-Jacques
Masumu, Justin
Ahuka, Steve
Takada, Ayato
VIRUSES-BASEL, 2019, 11 (07):
[38] UNCERTAIN ANALYSIS OF MONKEYPOX OUTBREAK IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO
Chen, Lili
Ding, Chunxiao
JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL AND MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZATION, 2024, 20 (09) : 2842 - 2853
[39] Dynamics of conflict during the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2018-2019
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Pigott, David M.
Hill, Sarah C.
Vanderslott, Samantha
Reiner, Robert C., Jr.
Stasse, Stephanie
Brownstein, John S.
Gutierrez, Bernardo
Dennig, Francis
Hay, Simon I.
Wint, G. R. William
Pybus, Oliver G.
Castro, Marcia C.
Vinck, Patrick
Pham, Phuong N.
Nilles, Eric J.
Cauchemez, Simon
BMC MEDICINE, 2020, 18 (01)
[40] Interventions to control virus transmission during an outbreak of Ebola hemorrhagic fever:: Experience from Kikwit, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1995
Kerstiëns, B
Matthys, F
JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 1999, 179 : S263 - S267

← 1 2 3 4 5 →