Natural Protected Areas effect on the cover change rate of mangrove forests in the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico

Mangrove forests provide important ecosystem services that support the maintenance of coastal socio-ecological systems. Strategies such as the establishment of Natural Protected Areas (NPAs) have been encouraged worldwide to promote their conservation. However, mangroves are still being lost as a consequence of anthropogenic disturbance and environmental variation. In here, we determine the change rate in mangrove cover, between 2005–2015, in eight coastal NPAs and the corresponding four km adjacent transition area in the Yucatan Peninsula (YP), and assess the relationship with location (inside or outside the protected area), their time since establishment and distance to roads. In general, we observed higher positive rates of change in mangrove cover inside the protected areas than in the adjacent transition zones (p < 0.05). Change was related to both the distance to roads and the time since establishment of the NPAs (p < 0.05). Higher (positive and negative) mangrove rates of change were observed in areas closer to roads, and more stable areas were detected as the distance to the roads increased. The positive rate of change also increased with the age of the protected area. These patterns were more evident inside the NPAs. The continuous monitoring of mangrove change dynamics in protected areas in this important region and their drivers, is necessary to establish effective management strategies considering the spatial and temporal variability of environmental and anthropogenic disturbances.