Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation on Scandinavian Hydropower Production and Energy Markets

被引：0

作者：

Jessie Cherry

Heidi Cullen

Martin Visbeck

Arthur Small

Cintia Uvo

机构：

[1] Columbia University,Lamont

[2] The Weather Channel and Georgia Institute of Technology,Doherty Earth Observatory

[3] Columbia University,Lamont

[4] Columbia University,Doherty Earth Observatory

[5] Lund University,School of International and Public Affairs

来源：

Water Resources Management | 2005年 / 19卷

关键词：

North Atlantic oscillation; social impacts; energy; hydropower; climate impacts;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Dramatic swings in the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) during the 1990s motivated the authors to build a statistical model of NAO impacts on hydropower production and energy markets in Scandinavia. Variation in the NAO index is shown to explain 55% of the variance of streamflow in Norway and up to 30% of the variance in Norway's hydropower output. It is also possible to identify the influence of NAO anomalies on electricity consumption and prices. Government liberalization allowed a financial market to grow around the international trading of electricity, which in Norway is produced almost entirely from hydropower. The model offers a possible tool for predicting the effects of future NAO movements on hydropower production and energy prices in Scandinavia. The potential influence of skillful climate prediction is discussed.

引用

页码：673 / 691

页数：18

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