Assessment of a practical model to estimate the cell temperature of a photovoltaic module

Instantaneous solar irradiance profiles or solar irradiation data collected with small time intervals (e.g., minutes) are usually required for the energy simulation of photovoltaic systems, especially as concerns the estimation of the cell temperature. However, meteorological stations and technical standards often provide just monthly average values of the horizontal daily solar irradiation; extensive climate databases that make available up to date hourly observation data or satellite-derived data are seldom available. The goal of the present paper is to investigate the suitability and the accuracy of a methodology aimed at estimating the time profile of the cell temperature of a photovoltaic system on the basis of only the monthly mean values of the daily global irradiation on a horizontal surface. The methodology consists of a chain of well-established models that are applied one after another, in a step-by-step procedure, in order to derive the cell temperatures from the solar radiation data. In particular, we selected different models as possible candidates for each step of the methodology and compared their predictions with measured data to identify the most suitable ones. In addition, we tried several combinations of models in order to identify the most accurate combination. Comparisons with data measured in Rome confirm the suitability of the proposed approach and give information about its accuracy.