Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change

被引：0

作者：

Bell J.D. ^{[1
]}

Ganachaud A. ^{[2
,3
]}

Gehrke P.C. ^{[4
]}

Griffiths S.P. ^{[5
]}

Hobday A.J. ^{[6
]}

Hoegh-Guldberg O. ^{[7
]}

Johnson J.E. ^{[8
]}

Le Borgne R. ^{[2
]}

Lehodey P. ^{[9
]}

Lough J.M. ^{[10
]}

Matear R.J. ^{[6
]}

Pickering T.D. ^{[11
]}

Pratchett M.S. ^{[12
]}

Gupta A.S. ^{[13
]}

Senina I. ^{[9
]}

Waycott M. ^{[14
,15
]}

机构：

[1] Fisheries, Aquaculture and Marine Ecosystems Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, BP D5

[2] Institut de Recherche Pour le Développement, BP A5

[3] Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales, UMR5566, UPS (OMP-PCA), 14 ave E. Belin

[4] SMEC Australia Pty Ltd, 154 Melbourne St., South Brisbane

[5] Climate Adaptation Flagship, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, PO Box 2583, Brisbane

[6] Climate Adaptation Flagship, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, GPO Box 1538, Hobart

[7] Global Change Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane

[8] C2O Consulting and School of Environment, Science and Technology, Southern Cross University, PO Box 4321, Coffs Harbour

[9] Collecte Localisation Satellites, 8-10 rue Hermes Parc Technologique de Canal

[10] Australian Institute of Marine Science, PMB 3, Townsville MC

[11] Fisheries, Aquaculture and Marine Ecosystems Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, Private Mail Bag, Suva

[12] ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville

[13] Climate Change Research Centre, University of NSW, Sydney

[14] School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Adelaide, Adelaide

[15] State Herbarium of South Australia, PO Box 2732, Kent Town

来源：

Nature Climate Change | 2013年 / 3卷 / 6期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/nclimate1838

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Pacific Island countries have an extraordinary dependence on fisheries and aquaculture. Maintaining the benefits from the sector is a difficult task, now made more complex by climate change. Here we report how changes to the atmosphere-ocean are likely to affect the food webs, habitats and stocks underpinning fisheries and aquaculture across the region. We found winners and losers - tuna are expected to be more abundant in the east and freshwater aquaculture and fisheries are likely to be more productive. Conversely, coral reef fisheries could decrease by 20% by 2050 and coastal aquaculture may be less efficient. We demonstrate how the economic and social implications can be addressed within the sector - tuna and freshwater aquaculture can help support growing populations as coral reefs, coastal fisheries and mariculture decline. © 2013 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：591 / 599

页数：8

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