A Demographic Model of Measles Epidemics

被引：0

作者：

S.R. Duncan

Susan Scott

C.J. Duncan*:

机构：

[1] Department of Engineering Science,School of Biological Sciences

[2] University of Liverpool,undefined

来源：

European Journal of Population / Revue européenne de Démographie | 1999年 / 15卷

关键词：

Population Dynamic; Resonant Frequency; Measle; Public Finance; Demographic Parameter;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Liverpool, U.K., 1863--1900, has been used as a model to explore the interaction between measles epidemics and the population dynamics in an overcrowded community with inadequate nutrition using a non-linear model which allows the estimation of certain underlying demographic parameters. The results are consistent with a system that is driven by an oscillation in the transmission parameter that is compounded of an oscillation in autumn temperatures (at the resonant frequency of the system, 2.4 years) and, secondarily, by an oscillation in wheat prices (wavelength = 5.3 years, twice that of the epidemics).

引用

页码：185 / 198

页数：13

共 50 条

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