Verification of short- and medium-range precipitation forecasts from the ensemble modeling system of the hydrometcenter of Russia

被引:0
|
作者
A. Yu. Bundel’
E. D. Astakhova
I. A. Rozinkina
D. Yu. Alferov
A. E. Semenov
机构
[1] Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation,
[2] Moscow State University,undefined
来源
关键词
RUSSIAN Meteorology; Ensemble Forecast; Circulation Type; Verification System; Precipitation Forecast;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Precipitation forecasts from short- and medium-range ensemble prediction system of the Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation (Hydrometcenter of Russia) are verified. The verification system includes probabilistic and deterministic scores. The precipitation forecast quality is analyzed for different seasons and large-scale circulation types. Further development of ensemble modeling and verification at the Hydrometcenter of Russia is discussed.
引用
收藏
页码:653 / 662
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Multivariate Probabilistic Analysis and Predictability of Medium-Range Ensemble Weather Forecasts
    Keune, Jessica
    Ohlwein, Christian
    Hense, Andreas
    [J]. MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2014, 142 (11) : 4074 - 4090
  • [32] Short-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation type
    Wandishin, MS
    Baldwin, ME
    Mullen, SL
    [J]. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2005, 20 (04) : 609 - 626
  • [33] Downscaling medium-range ensemble forecasts using a neural network approach
    Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko, Japan
    [J]. Proc. International Association Hydrol. Sci, (7-11):
  • [34] Dynamically vs. empirically downscaled medium-range precipitation forecasts
    Buerger, G.
    [J]. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES, 2009, 13 (09) : 1649 - 1658
  • [35] Value of Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts in Inflow Prediction and Hydropower Optimization
    Tang, Guolei
    Zhou, Huicheng
    Li, Ningning
    Wang, Feng
    Wang, Yajun
    Jian, Deping
    [J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT, 2010, 24 (11) : 2721 - 2742
  • [36] Value of Medium-range Precipitation Forecasts in Inflow Prediction and Hydropower Optimization
    Guolei Tang
    Huicheng Zhou
    Ningning Li
    Feng Wang
    Yajun Wang
    Deping Jian
    [J]. Water Resources Management, 2010, 24 : 2721 - 2742
  • [37] Reliable probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from a short-range ensemble forecasting system
    Stensrud, David J.
    Yussouf, Nusrat
    [J]. WEATHER AND FORECASTING, 2007, 22 (01) : 3 - 17
  • [38] Medium-range reservoir inflow predictions based on quantitative precipitation forecasts
    Collischonn, Walter
    Morelli Tucci, Carlos Eduardo
    Clarke, Robin Thomas
    Chou, Sin Chan
    Guilhon, Luiz Guilherme
    Cataldi, Marcio
    Allasia, Daniel
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY, 2007, 344 (1-2) : 112 - 122
  • [39] Evaluation of Global Forecast System (GFS) Medium-Range Precipitation Forecasts in the Nile River Basin
    Yue, Haowen
    Gebremichael, Mekonnen
    Nourani, Vahid
    [J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROMETEOROLOGY, 2022, 23 (01) : 101 - 116
  • [40] Short- and medium-range structure of amorphous zircon from molecular dynamics simulations
    Du, Jincheng
    Devanathan, Ram
    Corrales, L. Rene
    Weber, William J.
    Cormack, Alastair N.
    [J]. PHYSICAL REVIEW B, 2006, 74 (21)