A July-August relative humidity record in North China since 1765 AD reconstructed from tree-ring cellulose δ18O

被引:0
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作者
Linlin Cui
Yu Liu
Qiang Li
Huiming Song
Congxi Fang
机构
[1] Chinese Academy of Sciences,The State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment
[2] The University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Center for Excellence in Quaternary Science and Global Change
[3] Chinese Academy of Sciences,School of Human Settlements and Civil Engineering
[4] Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology,undefined
[5] Xi’an Jiaotong University,undefined
关键词
Tree-ring cellulose; δ; O; Climatic variations; North China; Drought events; Eastern Asian summer monsoon;
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摘要
Since the late 1970s, East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) has shown a significant weakening trend, and sustained drought has occurred across North China. Placing recent climate changes in the paleoclimatic context can better understand the EASM variations. Four δ18O sequences based on tree-ring cellulose of Chinese pine were developed from Mt. Beiwudang, North China, covering a period from 1700 to 2013. Based on a climatic response analysis, a transfer function was designed to reconstruct the relative humidity from July to August (RHJA hereafter). The RHJA spans from 1765 to 2013 and explains 49% (R2adj= 48%) of the instrumental variance during the calibration period (1961–2013, r = − 0.70, p < 0.0001). The RHJA is mainly influenced by precipitation in the summer rainy season and reflect EASM variations. Spatial representation analysis indicates that RHJA represents the dry/wet variations across North China. At the interannual scale, RHJA records many extreme dry/wet events, among which the events in 1876–1878, 1900, and the 1920s are extensive droughts. Those events correspond well to ENSO events, plus further correlation and periodicity analysis indicate that RHJA contains ENSO signals. At the interdecadal scale, RHJA shows a decreasing trend and unprecedented low values from 1981 to 2013, suggesting that the weakening of EASM since the late 1970s is unprecedented in the past 249 years. Similarly, the significantly correlating region in the spatial correlation analysis, covering the Meiyu/Baiu/Changma rainfall belt and India, have also undergone a climatic shift since the late 1970s according to previous papers.
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页码:905 / 915
页数:10
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