Implied volatility smoothing at COVID-19 times

被引:0
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作者
Sebastiano Vitali
Miloš Kopa
Gabriele Giana
机构
[1] University of Bergamo,Department of Economics
[2] Charles University,Department of Probability and Mathematical Statistics, Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
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关键词
COVID-19; Implied volatility; State price density; No-arbitrage conditions; Local polynomial smoothing;
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摘要
This work aims at studying the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on the global financial markets. In particular, such impact is analysed through the changes of the shape of the implied volatility smile of the options written on several equity indexes and on several stocks. The implied volatility function is estimated using the market-based information of liquid options and applying a semi-parametric smoothing technique that exploits a kernel function and no-arbitrage conditions. Such approach is applied to an extensive set of data to study the evolution of the implied volatility functions through the months of the pandemic. We show, in several cases, a sudden and massive change in the shape of the implied volatility functions.
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