Tibetan Plateau;
East Asian Summer Monsoon;
East Asian Winter Monsoon;
Cold Bias;
General Circulation Model Output;
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摘要:
Inspired by the framework of the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), the hindcast (1971–2000) and projection (2021–2050) simulations based on a resolution of \documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$0.44^\circ$$\end{document} over the East Asia domain are performed with the regional climate model COSMO-CLM (CCLM). The simulations are driven by ERA-40 reanalysis data and output of the global climate model ECHAM5. This is the first time that the CCLM is adapted and evaluated for the East Asia Monsoon region; the setup is considered a starting point for further improvements in this region by the CCLM community. The evaluation results show that the CCLM is able to reasonably capture the climate features in this region, especially the monsoon dynamics on small scales. However, total precipitation in the northern part of the domain, over the Tibetan Plateau, and over east Indonesia has a pronounced wet bias. The projected climate change under the A1B scenario indicates an overall annual surface temperature increase of 1–2 K, but no significant precipitation changes.
机构:
Shanxi Meteorol Bur, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Meteorol Bur, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Zhang Dong-feng
Gao Xue-jie
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Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Meteorol Bur, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Gao Xue-jie
Ouyang Li-cheng
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机构:
Guangzhou Int Specialized Weather Serv, Guangzhou 510080, Guangdong, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Meteorol Bur, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
Ouyang Li-cheng
Dong Wen-jie
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机构:
Beijing Normal Univ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R ChinaShanxi Meteorol Bur, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China