Despite the looming land scarcity for agriculture, cropland abandonment is widespread globally. Abandoned cropland can be reused to support food security and climate change mitigation. Here, we investigate the potentials and trade-offs of using global abandoned cropland for recultivation and restoring forests by natural regrowth, with spatially-explicit modelling and scenario analysis. We identify 101 Mha of abandoned cropland between 1992 and 2020, with a capability of concurrently delivering 29 to 363 Peta-calories yr-1 of food production potential and 290 to 1,066 MtCO2 yr-1 of net climate change mitigation potential, depending on land-use suitability and land allocation strategies. We also show that applying spatial prioritization is key to maximizing the achievable potentials of abandoned cropland and demonstrate other possible approaches to further increase these potentials. Our findings offer timely insights into the potentials of abandoned cropland and can inform sustainable land management to buttress food security and climate goals.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, OsloDepartment of Political Science, University of Oslo, Oslo
Hovi J.
Sprinz D.F.
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PIK—Potsdam Institute of Climate Research, Potsdam
Department of Economic and Social Sciences, University of Potsdam, PotsdamDepartment of Political Science, University of Oslo, Oslo
Sprinz D.F.
Sælen H.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, OsloDepartment of Political Science, University of Oslo, Oslo
Sælen H.
Underdal A.
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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, OsloDepartment of Political Science, University of Oslo, Oslo
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Univ Western Australia, UWA Law Sch, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
Univ Western Australia, UWA Oceans Inst, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, AustraliaUniv Western Australia, UWA Law Sch, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
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Purdue Univ, Dept Agr Econ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
Purdue Univ, Purdue Climate Change Res Ctr, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USAPurdue Univ, Dept Agr Econ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
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Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru,560 012, IndiaDivecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru,560 012, India
Satheesh, S.K.
Krishnamoorthy, K.
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Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru,560 012, IndiaDivecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru,560 012, India
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Department of Agribusiness Management and Consumer Studies, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana
Department of Applied Agriculture, Central University of Punjab, IndiaDepartment of Agribusiness Management and Consumer Studies, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana
Kyire, Samuel Kwabena Chaa
Dhaka, Surjeet Singh
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Department of Applied Agriculture, Central University of Punjab, IndiaDepartment of Agribusiness Management and Consumer Studies, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana
Dhaka, Surjeet Singh
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Bannor, Richard Kwasi
Asare, Jeffery Kofi
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Department of Agribusiness Management and Consumer Studies, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana
Department of Applied Agriculture, Central University of Punjab, IndiaDepartment of Agribusiness Management and Consumer Studies, University of Energy and Natural Resources, Sunyani, Ghana