Large-scale numerical modeling of the dynamics of the area of the Arctic sea ice cover

被引：0
|
作者：
A. N. Chetyrbotskii
机构：
[1] Russian Academy of Sciences,Far Eastern Geological Institute, Far Eastern Division
来源：
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology | 2015年 / 40卷
关键词：
Limited-area system; Bernoulli’s equation; parametric identification; the forecast of the area of the Arctic sea ice cover;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Developed is the large-scale model of the dynamics of the Arctic sea ice cover area based on the formal concepts of the dynamics of the components of the limited-area binary system. Proposed is the technique for its parametric identification. It is demonstrated that the distribution of the monthly mean values of the sea ice area for the period of 1972–2013 is defined with the high degree of accuracy as being close to the seasonal, annual, and 60-year components. Presented is the forecast of the sea ice area for 2014–2113.
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页码：199 / 206
页数：7
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