A note on fiducial model averaging as an alternative to checking Bayesian and frequentist models

被引:7
|
作者
Bickel, David R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Ottawa, Ottawa Inst Syst Biol, Dept Math & Stat, Dept Biochem Microbiol & Immunol, 451 Smyth Rd, Ottawa, ON K1H 8M5, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
Bayesian model averaging; coherent fiducial distribution; confidence distribution; distributional inference; fiducial inference; frequentist model averaging; model assessment; model checking; model criticism; posterior predictive check; prior predictive check; prior-data conflict; STATISTICAL-INFERENCE; P-VALUES; CONFIDENCE CURVES; DATA CONFLICT; LIKELIHOOD; FRAMEWORK;
D O I
10.1080/03610926.2017.1348522
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Just as frequentist hypothesis tests have been developed to check model assumptions, prior predictive p-values and other Bayesian p-values check prior distributions as well as other model assumptions. These model checks not only suffer from the usual threshold dependence of p-values, but also from the suppression of model uncertainty in subsequent inference. One solution is to transform Bayesian and frequentist p-values for model assessment into a fiducial distribution across the models. Averaging the Bayesian or frequentist posterior distributions with respect to the fiducial distribution can reproduce results from Bayesian model averaging or classical fiducial inference.
引用
收藏
页码:3125 / 3137
页数:13
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] FREQUENTIST MODEL AVERAGING IN STRUCTURE EQUATION MODEL WITH ORDINAL DATA
    Jin, Shaobo
    [J]. PSYCHOMETRIKA, 2022, 87 (03) : 1130 - 1145
  • [42] ParMA: Parallelized Bayesian Model Averaging for Generalized Linear Models
    Lucchetti, Riccardo
    Pedini, Luca
    [J]. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SOFTWARE, 2022, 104 (02): : 1 - 39
  • [43] Bayesian Model Selection and Averaging in Additive and Proportional Hazards Models
    David B. Dunson
    Amy H. Herring
    [J]. Lifetime Data Analysis, 2005, 11 : 213 - 232
  • [44] Bayesian model selection and averaging in additive and proportional hazards models
    Dunson, DB
    Herring, AH
    [J]. LIFETIME DATA ANALYSIS, 2005, 11 (02) : 213 - 232
  • [45] Bayesian model averaging of longitudinal dose-response models
    Payne, Richard D.
    Ray, Pallavi
    Thomann, Mitchell A.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BIOPHARMACEUTICAL STATISTICS, 2024, 34 (03) : 349 - 365
  • [46] A note on Bayesian and frequentist parametric inference for a scalar parameter of interest
    Wong, A. C. M.
    [J]. STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2013, 83 (01) : 414 - 421
  • [47] Bayesian and frequentist approaches to multinomial count models in ecology
    Wang, Guiming
    [J]. ECOLOGICAL INFORMATICS, 2021, 61
  • [48] Bayesian vs frequentist: comparing Bayesian model selection with a frequentist approach using the iterative smoothing method
    Koo, Hanwool
    Keeley, Ryan E.
    Shafieloo, Arman
    L'Huillier, Benjamin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF COSMOLOGY AND ASTROPARTICLE PHYSICS, 2022, (03):
  • [49] Model Selection: Beyond the Bayesian/Frequentist Divide
    Guyon, Isabelle
    Saffari, Amir
    Dror, Gideon
    Cawley, Gavin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF MACHINE LEARNING RESEARCH, 2010, 11 : 61 - 87
  • [50] Model Evaluation in the Presence of Categorical Data: Bayesian Model Checking as an Alternative to Traditional Methods
    Wes Bonifay
    Sarah Depaoli
    [J]. Prevention Science, 2023, 24 : 467 - 479