Multi-step forecasting strategies for wind speed time series

被引:4
|
作者
Rodriguez, Hector [1 ]
Medrano, Manuel [1 ]
Morales Rosales, Luis [2 ]
Peralta Penunuri, Gloria [1 ]
Jose Flores, Juan [2 ]
机构
[1] Tecnol Nacl Mexico, Div Posgrad, Campus Culiacan, Culiacan, Sinaloa, Mexico
[2] UMSNH, Conacyt, Morelia, Michoacan, Mexico
关键词
D O I
10.1109/ropec50909.2020.9258743
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
A time series is a sequence of observations, measured at certain moments in time, ordered chronologically and evenly spaced, so that the data are usually dependent on each other. Currently, time series are used to estimate wind gusts, which are highly non-linear, unknown, and at times unpredictable. A good estimation of wind gusts implies correct planning on the generation of clean wind energy. In this work, we use Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques such as the use of convolutional neural networks for wind gust estimation. One of the best models for dealing with this type of information is the Large Short Term Memory (LSTM) network because it is a type of recurrent network that specializes in sequence information. In this work, an LSTM prediction model is implemented for five different wind speed data sets using different multi-step forecasting strategies. The strategies used are Recursive, Direct, MIMO (multiple-input to multiple-output), DIRMO (Combination of direct strategy and MIMO), and DirREC (Combination of direct and recursive strategy).
引用
收藏
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Multi-Step Time Series Forecasting with an Ensemble of Varied Length Mixture Models
    Ouyang, Yicun
    Yin, Hujun
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF NEURAL SYSTEMS, 2018, 28 (04)
  • [22] Robustness of LSTM neural networks for multi-step forecasting of chaotic time series
    Sangiorgio, Matteo
    Dercole, Fabio
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2020, 139
  • [23] Multi-step forecasting for big data time series based on ensemble learning
    Galicia, A.
    Talavera-Llames, R.
    Troncoso, A.
    Koprinska, I.
    Martinez-Alvarez, F.
    KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2019, 163 : 830 - 841
  • [24] Correlation aware multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting with heteroscedastic multi-kernel learning
    Wang, Yun
    Xie, Zongxia
    Hu, Qinghua
    Xiong, Shenghua
    ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2018, 163 : 384 - 406
  • [25] Smart wind speed forecasting approach using various boosting algorithms, big multi-step forecasting strategy
    Li, Yanfei
    Shi, Huipeng
    Han, Fengze
    Duan, Zhu
    Liu, Hui
    RENEWABLE ENERGY, 2019, 135 : 540 - 553
  • [26] Multi-step wind speed forecasting based on numerical simulations and an optimized stochastic ensemble method
    Zhao, Jing
    Wang, Jianzhou
    Guo, Zhenhai
    Guo, Yanling
    Lin, Wantao
    Lin, Yihua
    APPLIED ENERGY, 2019, 255
  • [27] Intelligent Neural Learning Models for Multi-step Wind Speed Forecasting in Renewable Energy Applications
    Deepa, S. N.
    Banerjee, Abhik
    JOURNAL OF CONTROL AUTOMATION AND ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS, 2022, 33 (03) : 881 - 900
  • [28] Intelligent Neural Learning Models for Multi-step Wind Speed Forecasting in Renewable Energy Applications
    S. N. Deepa
    Abhik Banerjee
    Journal of Control, Automation and Electrical Systems, 2022, 33 : 881 - 900
  • [29] Multi-step forecasting of multivariate time series using multi-attention collaborative network
    He, Xiaoyu
    Shi, Suixiang
    Geng, Xiulin
    Yu, Jie
    Xu, Lingyu
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2023, 211
  • [30] Research and application of a combined model based on multi objective optimization for multi-step ahead wind speed forecasting
    Wang, Jianzhou
    Heng, Jiani
    Xiao, Liye
    Wang, Chen
    ENERGY, 2017, 125 : 591 - 613