Application of load, regularity evaluation in short-term load forecasting

Obtaining high accuracy of the load forecasting result is an uphill task to those. who pursue in studies on load forecasting, but there is no way to avoid prediction error. Too. many insights have been, lighted on the construction of forecasting models ago to have notice on the regularity of load itself. A method of evaluating load regularity is introduced to evaluate the regularity of various loads before forecasting. What can be reached is die upper limit of the prediction accuracy by thoroughly analyzing the minimum modeling error of specific load. By using Load Regularity Evaluation Method, what will be shown is that how many regular components of the load can be mirrored, furthest, by the forecasting methods and how to direct improving forecasting methods to get better prediction results. Examples in experience show. its effectiveness.