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El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole contribution to the zonal mean total ozone in the Northern Hemisphere
被引:2
|作者:
Krzyscin, J. W.
[1
]
机构:
[1] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Geophys, Ksiecia Janusza 64, PL-01452 Warsaw, Poland
关键词:
total ozone;
multiple regression;
covariates;
ENSO;
IOD;
ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS;
TREND ANALYSES;
COLUMN OZONE;
STRATOSPHERE;
MIDLATITUDES;
CHEMISTRY;
D O I:
10.1002/joc.4933
中图分类号:
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号:
0706 ;
070601 ;
摘要:
We present the first analysis of the combined El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) contribution to the monthly zonal means of total ozone (TO3) in the Northern Hemisphere for the 1970-2015 period. The Solar Backscatter UV merged TO3 (version 8.6) data set is examined using the standard multiple regression model with new proposed regressors accounting for the impact of the strong ENSO and IOD effects on the zonal mean ozone. The new regressors are selected using the principal component analysis applied to the standard ENSO and IOD indices. The ENSO and IOD induce +/- 2% month-to-month TO3 oscillations in the equatorial-, mid-, and even in high latitudinal zones. Long-term effects of similar to 1% 10 year-1 are found. In autumn, a strong positive phase IOD is associated with similar to 0.5% positive and similar to 1.5% negative anomalies in the 30 degrees-35 degrees N and 65 degrees-70 degrees N regions, respectively. The IOD contribution to the zonal TO3 means is more pronounced than that of ENSO.
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页码:3517 / 3524
页数:8
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