Bayesian estimation of the Hurst parameter of fractional Brownian motion

被引:2
|
作者
Chen, Chen-Yueh [1 ]
Shafie, Khalil [2 ]
Lin, Yen-Kuang [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Taiwan Sport Univ, 250 Wen Hwa First Rd, Taoyuan 333, Taiwan
[2] Univ Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO USA
[3] Taipei Med Univ, Taipei, Taiwan
关键词
Bayesian analysis; fractal dimension; fractional Brownian motion; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR;
D O I
10.1080/03610918.2015.1130835
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The primary purpose of this study was to find Bayesian estimates for the Hurst dimension of a Fractional Brownian motion with a Beta prior when the process is observed at discrete times. Overestimation is observed though the overestimation is less severe as real H goes up. In addition, the estimated H decreases as Beta parameters go up given an Alpha value. In contrast, the estimated H increases as Alpha parameters go up given a Beta value. For the real-world data, the 2011 daily Taiwan stock index was used and the estimated Hurst index was 0.21.
引用
收藏
页码:4760 / 4766
页数:7
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