River Runoff and Probabilistic Forecast of the Caspian Sea Level

被引：5
|
作者：
Bolgov, M. V. [1 ]
Korobkina, E. A. [1 ]
Trubetskova, M. D. [1 ]
Filippova, I. A. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Water Problems Inst, Ul Gubkina 3, Moscow 119333, Russia
来源：
RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY | 2018年 / 43卷 / 10期
关键词：
Caspian Sea; water level; inflow; evaporation; Kara-Bogaz-Gol; probabilistic forecast;
D O I：
10.3103/S1068373918100023
中图分类号：
P4 [大气科学（气象学）];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
The main components ofthe Caspian Sea water balance and water level are assessed. Stochastic models of time series of the water balance components are proposed ustng morphometric dependences specified by creating and processing digital elevation models for the flooded areas. The sea level forecast is obtained by the method of simulation modeling based on algorithms for the generation of Markovian random sequences with non-Gaussian marginal distributions.
引用
收藏
页码：639 / 645
页数：7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Statistical Estimates of the Dependence of the Caspian Sea Level and the Volga Runoff on the Amount of Precipitation onto the Volga Watershed
    A. V. Meshcherskaya
    M. P. Golod
    Water Resources, 2003, 30 (1) : 23 - 33
  • [22] Caspian Sea level changes again
    Latypov, YY
    VESTNIK ROSSIISKOI AKADEMII NAUK, 1997, 67 (12): : 1082 - 1087
  • [23] On the problem of the Caspian Sea level forecasting
    Bolgov, MV
    Filimonova, MK
    Trubetskova, MD
    Transboundary Water Resources: Strategies for Regional Security and Ecological Stability, 2005, 46 : 27 - 35
  • [24] Problem of Caspian sea level fluctuations
    A. E. Asarin
    Hydrotechnical Construction, 1997, 31 (11) : 645 - 654
  • [25] ON THE QUESTION OF REGULATING THE LEVEL OF THE CASPIAN SEA
    GELLER, SY
    SOVIET GEOGRAPHY REVIEW AND TRANSLATION, 1962, 3 (01): : 59 - 66
  • [26] Probabilistic estimates of water level in the ural river mouth reach at interaction between the river runoff and positive setups
    Polonskii V.F.
    Ostroumova L.P.
    Water Resources, 2002, 29 (5) : 497 - 505
  • [27] Secular Variability of the Caspian Sea Level
    Kislov, A. V.
    RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY, 2018, 43 (10) : 679 - 685
  • [28] Caspian Sea level changes again
    Vestn RAN, 12 (1082-1087):
  • [29] Secular Variability of the Caspian Sea Level
    A. V. Kislov
    Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2018, 43 : 679 - 685
  • [30] Research on runoff forecast approaches to the Aksu River basin
    RuLin Ouyang
    WeiMing Cheng
    WeiSheng Wang
    Yan Jiang
    YiChi Zhang
    YongQin Wang
    Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 2007, 50 : 16 - 25
12345