[1] Univ Bristol, Dept Social Med, Bristol BS8 2PS, Avon, England
[2] Ctr Infect, Hlth Protect Agcy, Immunisat Dept, London, England
[3] Ctr Infect, Hlth Protect Agcy, Stat Modelling & Econ Dept, London, England
[4] Ctr Infect, Hlth Protect Agcy, Resp & Syst Infect Lab, London, England