Short Communication Estimation of the secondary attack rate of COVID-19 using proportional meta-analysis of nationwide contact tracing data in Taiwan

被引：11
|
作者：
Huang, Yen-Ta [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Tu, Yu-Kang [4 ,5 ]
Lai, Pei-Chun [6 ,7 ,8 ]
机构：
[1] Buddhist Tzu Chi Med Fdn, Hualien Tzu Chi Hosp, Dept Surg, Div Expt Surg, Hualien, Taiwan
[2] Buddhist Tzu Chi Med Fdn, Hualien Tzu Chi Hosp, Dept Surg, Surg Intens Care Unit, Hualien, Taiwan
[3] Tzu Chi Univ, Sch Med, Dept Pharmacol, Hualien, Taiwan
[4] Natl Taiwan Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Inst Epidemiol & Prevent Med, Taipei, Taiwan
[5] Natl Taiwan Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taipei, Taiwan
[6] Tzu Chi Univ, Sch Med, Hualien, Taiwan
[7] Buddhist Tzu Chi Med Fdn, Hualien Tzu Chi Hosp, Evidence Based Med Ctr, Dept Med Educ, Hualien, Taiwan
[8] Buddhist Tzu Chi Med Fdn, Hualien Tzu Chi Hosp, Dept Pediat, Hualien, Taiwan
来源：
JOURNAL OF MICROBIOLOGY IMMUNOLOGY AND INFECTION | 2021年 / 54卷 / 01期
关键词：
COVID-19; Secondary attack rate; Meta-analysis; Pandemic; Bayesian;
D O I：
10.1016/j.jmii.2020.06.003
中图分类号：
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号：
100102 ;
摘要：
Crude secondary attack rate (SAR) of COVID-19 in Taiwan was 0.84% using nationwide contact-tracing data till April 8, 2020. The random-effect Bayesian metaanalysis yielded 95% credible intervals of 0.42%-1.69% and 0.08%-8.32%, respectively, for estimated SAR pooling from 15 case series and for predicted SAR in the future if pandemic continues. Copyright (c) 2020, Taiwan Society of Microbiology. Published by Elsevier Taiwan LLC. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/bync-nd/4.0/).
引用
收藏
页码：89 / 92
页数：4
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