Criteria for posterior consistency and convergence at a rate

被引:2
|
作者
Kleijn, B. J. K. [1 ]
Zhao, Y. Y. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Korteweg de Vries Inst Math, POB 94248, NL-1090 GE Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Zhongnan Univ Econ & Law, Wenlan Sch Business, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
来源
ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF STATISTICS | 2019年 / 13卷 / 02期
关键词
Asymptotic consistency; posterior consistency; Bayesian consistency; marginal consistency; posterior rate of convergence; ASYMPTOTIC-BEHAVIOR; DISTRIBUTIONS; AFFINITY;
D O I
10.1214/19-EJS1633
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Frequentist conditions for asymptotic consistency of Bayesian procedures with i.i.d. data focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in these criteria. We derive a versatile new posterior consistency theorem, which is used to consider Kullback-Leibler consistency and indicate when it is sufficient to have a prior that charges metric balls instead of KL-neighbourhoods. We generalize our proposal to sieved models with Barron's negligible prior mass condition and to separable models with variations on Walker's condition. Results are also applied in semi-parametric consistency: support boundary estimation is considered explicitly and consistency is proved in a model for which Kullback-Leibler priors do not exist. As a further demonstration of applicability, we consider metric consistency at a rate: under a mild integrability condition, the second-order Ghosal-Ghosh-van der Vaart prior mass condition can be relaxed to a lower bound for ordinary KL-neighbourhoods. The posterior rate is derived in a parametric model for heavy-tailed distributions in which the Ghosal-Ghosh-van der Vaart condition cannot be satisfied by any prior.
引用
收藏
页码:4709 / 4742
页数:34
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