Criteria for posterior consistency and convergence at a rate

被引:2
|
作者
Kleijn, B. J. K. [1 ]
Zhao, Y. Y. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Amsterdam, Korteweg de Vries Inst Math, POB 94248, NL-1090 GE Amsterdam, Netherlands
[2] Zhongnan Univ Econ & Law, Wenlan Sch Business, Wuhan, Hubei, Peoples R China
来源
ELECTRONIC JOURNAL OF STATISTICS | 2019年 / 13卷 / 02期
关键词
Asymptotic consistency; posterior consistency; Bayesian consistency; marginal consistency; posterior rate of convergence; ASYMPTOTIC-BEHAVIOR; DISTRIBUTIONS; AFFINITY;
D O I
10.1214/19-EJS1633
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Frequentist conditions for asymptotic consistency of Bayesian procedures with i.i.d. data focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in these criteria. We derive a versatile new posterior consistency theorem, which is used to consider Kullback-Leibler consistency and indicate when it is sufficient to have a prior that charges metric balls instead of KL-neighbourhoods. We generalize our proposal to sieved models with Barron's negligible prior mass condition and to separable models with variations on Walker's condition. Results are also applied in semi-parametric consistency: support boundary estimation is considered explicitly and consistency is proved in a model for which Kullback-Leibler priors do not exist. As a further demonstration of applicability, we consider metric consistency at a rate: under a mild integrability condition, the second-order Ghosal-Ghosh-van der Vaart prior mass condition can be relaxed to a lower bound for ordinary KL-neighbourhoods. The posterior rate is derived in a parametric model for heavy-tailed distributions in which the Ghosal-Ghosh-van der Vaart condition cannot be satisfied by any prior.
引用
收藏
页码:4709 / 4742
页数:34
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Posterior consistency and convergence rates for Bayesian inversion with hypoelliptic operators
    Kekkonen, Hanne
    Lassas, Matti
    Siltanen, Samuli
    INVERSE PROBLEMS, 2016, 32 (08)
  • [2] ON THE CONVERGENCE RATE OF MODEL SELECTION CRITERIA
    ZHANG, P
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 1993, 22 (10) : 2765 - 2775
  • [3] CONSISTENCY AND CONVERGENCE RATE OF PHYLOGENETIC INFERENCE VIA REGULARIZATION
    Vu Dinh
    Lam Si Tung Ho
    Suchard, Marc A.
    Matsen, Frederick A.
    ANNALS OF STATISTICS, 2018, 46 (04): : 1481 - 1512
  • [4] A posterior convergence rate theorem for general Markov chains
    Xing, Yang
    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS, 2023, 52 (16) : 5910 - 5921
  • [5] Lower bound for the oracle projection posterior convergence rate
    Babenko, Alexandra
    Belitser, Eduard
    STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2011, 81 (02) : 175 - 180
  • [7] Strong consistency and convergence rate of parameter identification for bilinear systems
    Chen, HX
    Zinober, ASI
    Ruan, RY
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL, 1996, 63 (05) : 907 - 919
  • [8] On consistency and rate of convergence of Flux Reconstruction for time-dependent problems
    Asthana, Kartikey
    Watkins, Jerry
    Jameson, Antony
    JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL PHYSICS, 2017, 334 : 367 - 391
  • [9] Convergence and consistency of recursive least squares with variable-rate forgetting
    Bruce, Adam L.
    Goel, Ankit
    Bernstein, Dennis S.
    AUTOMATICA, 2020, 119
  • [10] Convergence detection criteria for classification based on final error rate
    Brumen, B
    Welzer, T
    Rozman, I
    Hölbl, M
    Jaakkola, H
    ICCC 2005: IEEE 3rd International Conference on Computational Cybernetics, 2005, : 41 - 45