Intervention times series analysis of pertussis vaccination in England and Wales

被引：15
|
作者：
Girard, DZ [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Nantes, Dept Econ, LEN, CEBS, F-44322 Nantes 03, France
来源：
HEALTH POLICY | 2000年 / 54卷 / 01期
关键词：
intervention time series analysis; pertussis vaccination; whooping-cough epidemics;
D O I：
10.1016/S0168-8510(00)00096-8
中图分类号：
R19 [保健组织与事业（卫生事业管理）];
学科分类号：
摘要：
We use the ARIMA model with intervention in order to analyse the epidemiological situation of whooping-cough in England and Wales for the period of 1940-1990. The ARIMA modelling of this illness contains intervention variables, such as the introduction of widespread vaccination in 1957 and the fail in the level of vaccination down to 30% in 1978. The results of this analysis confirm the role of the intervention variables on the evolution of the morbidity due to whooping-cough, by quantifying their impact on the level of the morbidity, as well as the delay needed before they have an influence on the increase of recorded cases of whooping-cough. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. JEL classification: C22: I12.
引用
收藏
页码：13 / 25
页数：13
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