Model Development and Hindcast Simulations of NOAA's Gulf of Maine Operational Forecast System

被引:7
|
作者
Yang, Zizang [1 ]
Richardson, Philip [1 ]
Chen, Yi [2 ]
Kelley, John G. W. [1 ]
Myers, Edward [1 ]
Aikman, Frank, III [1 ]
Peng, Machuan [3 ]
Zhang, Aijun [3 ]
机构
[1] NOAA, Natl Ocean Serv, Coast Survey Dev Lab, 1315 East West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
[2] Earth Resources Technol ERT Inc, 6100 Frost Pl, Laurel, MD 20707 USA
[3] NOAA, Natl Ocean Serv, Ctr Operat Oceanog Prod & Serv, 1305 East West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
来源
关键词
Gulf of Maine; operational nowcast and forecast system; hydrodynamics; ROMS; water level; currents; water temperature; and salinity;
D O I
10.3390/jmse4040077
中图分类号
U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];
学科分类号
0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;
摘要
The National Ocean Service (NOS) of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is developing an operational nowcast/forecast system for the Gulf of Maine (GoMOFS). The system aims to produce real-time nowcasts and short-range forecast guidance for water levels, 3-dimensional currents, water temperature, and salinity over the broad GoM region. GoMOFS will be implemented using the Regional Ocean Model System (ROMS). This paper describes the system setup and results from a one-year (2012) hindcast simulation. The hindcast performance was evaluated using the NOS standard skill assessment software. The results indicate favorable agreement between observations and model forecasts. The root-mean-squared errors are about 0.12 m for water level, less than 1.5 degrees C for temperature, less than 1.5 psu for salinity, and less than 0.2 m/s for currents. It is anticipated to complete the system development and the transition into operations in fiscal year 2017.
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收藏
页数:17
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