STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODEL WITH CORRELATED JUMP SIZES AND INDEPENDENT ARRIVALS

被引:3
|
作者
Chen, Pengzhan [1 ]
Ye, Wuyi [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Management, Hefei 230026, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
jump risk; model specification; stochastic volatility; VIX; VARIANCE RISK; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; STOCK RETURNS; P; 500; OPTIONS; DYNAMICS; PREMIA; PRICES;
D O I
10.1017/S0269964820000054
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In light of recent empirical research on jump activity, this article study the calibration of a new class of stochastic volatility models that include both jumps in return and volatility. Specifically, we consider correlated jump sizes and both contemporaneous and independent arrival of jumps in return and volatility. Based on the specifications of this model, we derive a closed-form relationship between the VIX index and latent volatility. Also, we propose a closed-form logarithmic likelihood formula by using the link to the VIX index. By estimating alternative models, we find that the general counting processes setting lead to better capturing of return jump behaviors. That is, the part where the return and volatility jump simultaneously and the part that jump independently can both be captured. In addition, the size of the jumps in volatility is, on average, positive for both contemporaneous and independent arrivals. However, contemporaneous jumps in the return are negative, but independent return jumps are positive. The sub-period analysis further supports above insight, and we find that the jumps in return and volatility increased significantly during the two recent economic crises.
引用
收藏
页码:513 / 531
页数:19
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