Blood eosinophil count thresholds and exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Background: Eosinophilic airway inflammation in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with exacerbations and responsivity to steroids, suggesting potential shared mechanisms with eosinophilic asthma. However, there is no consistent blood eosinophil count that has been used to define the increased exacerbation risk. Objective: We sought to investigate blood eosinophil counts associated with exacerbation risk in patients with COPD. Methods: Blood eosinophil counts and exacerbation risk were analyzed in patients with moderate-to-severe COPD by using 2 independent studies of former and current smokers with longitudinal data. The Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study was analyzed for discovery (n=1,553), and the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study was analyzed for validation (n=1,895). A subset of the ECLIPSE study subjects were used to assess the stability of blood eosinophil counts over time. Results: COPD exacerbation risk increased with higher eosinophil counts. An eosinophil count threshold of 300 cells/mL or greater showed adjusted incidence rate ratios for exacerbations of 1.32 in the COPDGene study (95% CI, 1.10-1.63). The cutoff of 300 cells/mL or greater was validated for prospective risk of exacerbation in the ECLIPSE study, with adjusted incidence rate ratios of 1.22 (95% CI, 1.06-1.41) using 3-year follow-up data. Stratified analysis confirmed that the increased exacerbation risk associated with an eosinophil count of 300 cells/mL or greater was driven by subjects with a history of frequent exacerbations in both the COPDGene and ECLIPSE studies. Conclusions: Patients with moderate-to-severe COPD and blood eosinophil counts of 300 cells/mL or greater had an increased risk exacerbations in the COPDGene study, which was prospectively validated in the ECLIPSE study.