[1] Yale Sch Publ Hlth, Ctr Infect Dis Modeling & Anal CIDMA, New Haven, CT 06510 USA
[2] Univ Michigan, Sch Med, Dept Internal Med, Ann Arbor, MI USA
[3] Wayne State Univ, Dept Publ Hlth, Detroit, MI USA
[4] Michigan Dept Hlth & Human Serv, Div Vital Records & Hlth Stat, Detroit, MI USA
[5] Michigan Dept Hlth & Human Serv, Div Communicable Dis, Detroit, MI USA
[6] Univ Maryland, Sch Med, Baltimore, MD 21201 USA