Verification of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Results for Energy Applications in Latvia

被引：13

作者：

Sile, T. ^{[1
]}

Bekere, L. ^{[1
]}

Cepite-Frisfelde, D. ^{[1
]}

Sennikovs, J. ^{[1
]}

Bethers, U. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Latvia, Lab Math Modelling Environm & Technol Proc, Zellu 8, LV-1002 Riga, Latvia

来源：

EUROPEAN GEOSCIENCES UNION GENERAL ASSEMBLY 2014, EGU DIVISION ENERGY, RESOURCES & THE ENVIRONMENT (ERE) | 2014年 / 59卷

关键词：

Numerical Weather Prediction; Wind energy; Verification; WRF; PARAMETERIZATION;

D O I：

10.1016/j.egypro.2014.10.369

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

Wind power forecasting greatly relies on wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are a reliable source of meteorological forecasts and they can also be used in wind resource assessment. In this work we carry out the verification of wind speed results from the NWP model Weather Research and Forecast (WRF), grid resolution - 3km. Results from 172 model runs in May and November 2013 are compared with meteorological observations in 24 stations in Latvia. The model usually predicts wind speed values that are larger than the observed and the diurnal cycle has a large impact on verification results. Verification results obtained by interpolating model results between gridpoints to the exact station location are compared with results acquired using values from the nearest gridpoint. This distinction is significant in coastal stations. The influence of wind speed and wind direction on model error is analyzed. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

引用

页码：213 / 220

页数：8

共 50 条

[21] LIMITED AREA NESTED NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODEL - FORMULATION AND PRELIMINARY-RESULTS
GAUNTLETT, DJ
LESLIE, LM
MCGREGOR, JL
HINCKSMAN, DR
[J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1978, 104 (439) : 103 - 117
[22] Deriving turbulence characteristics from the COSMO numerical weather prediction model for dispersion applications
Szintai, B.
Kaufmann, P.
Rotach, M. W.
[J]. ADVANCES IN SCIENCE AND RESEARCH, 2009, 3 : 79 - 84
[23] A vortex isolation and removal algorithm for numerical weather prediction model tropical cyclone applications
Winterbottom, Henry R.
Chassignet, Eric P.
[J]. JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS, 2011, 3
[24] Verification of Trident Warrior 2013 Radiosonde and Numerical Weather Prediction Results with Passive Low Frequency RF Measurements
Yardim, C.
Rogers, T.
Gerstoft, P.
[J]. 2014 USNC-URSI RADIO SCIENCE MEETING (JOINT WITH AP-S SYMPOSIUM), 2014, : 313 - 313
[25] VERIFICATION OF NUMERICAL WEATHER FORECASTS
THIEBAUX, HJ
[J]. 11TH CONFERENCE ON PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 1989, : 186 - 191
[26] Evaluation of laser heterodyne radiometry for numerical weather prediction applications
Smith, Fiona
Havemann, Stephan
Hoffmann, Alex
Bell, William
Weidmann, Damien
Newman, Stuart
[J]. QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 2018, 144 (715) : 1831 - 1850
[27] Applications of satellite remote sensing in numerical weather and climate prediction
Ohring, G
Lord, S
Derber, J
Mitchell, K
Ji, M
[J]. EARTH'S ATMOSPHERE, OCEAN AND SURFACE STUDIES, 2002, 30 (11): : 2433 - 2439
[28] Numerical weather prediction as a surrogate for climate observations in practical applications
M. D. Müller
E. Parlow
[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2013, 111 : 577 - 584
[29] Numerical weather prediction as a surrogate for climate observations in practical applications
Mueller, M. D.
Parlow, E.
[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 2013, 111 (3-4) : 577 - 584
[30] Verification of Forecast Weather Surface Variables over Vietnam Using the National Numerical Weather Prediction System
Tien Du Duc
Hole, Lars Robert
Duc Tran Anh
Cuong Hoang Duc
Thuy Nguyen Ba
[J]. ADVANCES IN METEOROLOGY, 2016, 2016

← 1 2 3 4 5 →