Covid-19 in the Northeast of Brazil: from lockdown to the relaxation of social distancing measures

被引：6

作者：

de Alencar Ximenes, Ricardo Arraes ^{[1
,3
]}

Pessoa Militao de Albuquerque, Maria de Fatima ^{[2
]}

Turchi Martelli, Celina Maria ^{[2
]}

Barreto de Araujo, Thalia Velho ^{[1
]}

Miranda Filho, Democrito de Barros ^{[3
]}

de Souza, Wayner Vieira ^{[2
]}

Travassos Ichihara, Maria Yury ^{[4
]}

Cabral de Lira, Pedro Israel ^{[1
]}

Franco Sansigolo Kerr, Ligia Regina ^{[5
]}

Aquino, Estela M. L. ^{[6
]}

Moura da Silva, Antonio Augusto ^{[7
]}

Freitas de Almeida, Rosa Livia ^{[8
]}

Kendall, Carl ^{[5
]}

Pescarini, Julia M. ^{[4
]}

Brandao Filho, Sinval Pinto ^{[2
]}

Almeida-Filho, Naomar ^{[6
]}

de Oliveira, Juliane Fonseca ^{[4
]}

Teles, Carlos ^{[4
]}

Pereira Jorge, Daniel Cardoso ^{[6
]}

Santana, Guilherme ^{[4
]}

Gabrielli, Ligia ^{[6
]}

Rodrigues, Moreno M. S. ^{[9
]}

da Silva, Natanael Jesus ^{[4
]}

da Silva Souza, Rafael Felipe ^{[4
]}

Ferreira da Silva, Vivian Alessandra ^{[4
]}

Barreto, Mauricio Lima ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Fed Pernambuco, Av Prof Moraes Rego S-N,Cidade Univ, BR-50670420 Recife, PE, Brazil

[2] Fiocruz MS, Inst Aggeu Magalhaes, Recife, PE, Brazil

[3] Univ Pernambuco, Recife, PE, Brazil

[4] Fiocruz Bahia, Inst Goncalo Moniz, Ctr Integracao Dados & Conhecimentos Saude, Salvador, BA, Brazil

[5] Univ Fed Ceara, Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

[6] Univ Fed Bahia, Salvador, BA, Brazil

[7] Univ Fed Maranhao, Sao Luis, Maranhao, Brazil

[8] Univ Fortaleza, Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

[9] Fiocruz Rondonia, Porto Velho, RO, Brazil

来源：

CIENCIA & SAUDE COLETIVA | 2021年 / 26卷 / 04期

关键词：

Covid-19; Social Distancing; Coronavirus; Northeast Brazil; Epidemic; HERD-IMMUNITY;

D O I：

10.1590/1413-81232021264.39422020

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

Even in the period when the Covid-19 pandemic was on the rise in the Northeast of Brazil, the relaxation of social distancing measures was introduced. The scope of the study is to assess, in the light of the epidemiological-sanitary situation in the region, the suitability of relaxation of social distancing measures. Based on the WHO guidelines for relaxation of social distancing, operational indicators were created and analyzed for each guideline in the context of the Northeast. To analyze the behavior of the epidemic, according to selected indicators, Joinpoint trend analysis techniques, heat maps, rate ratios and time trends between capitals and the state interior were compared. The weekly growth peak of the epidemic occurred in May-July 2020 (epidemiological weeks 19 to 31). In most capitals, there was no simultaneous downward trend in the number of cases and deaths in the 14 days prior to flexibilization. In all states the number of tests performed was insufficient. In epidemiological week 24, the state percentages of ICU/Covid-19 bed occupancy were close to or above 70%. The epidemiological situation of the nine Northeastern state capitals analyzed here did not meet criteria and parameters recommended by the World Health Organization for the relaxation of social distancing measures.

引用

页码：1441 / 1456

页数：16

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