Uncertainty in a Flood Damage Assessment of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Levees

被引:0
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作者
Ellis, Hollie [1 ]
Jones, Dustin [2 ]
Ludy, Jessica [3 ]
Trahan, Alexander [4 ]
机构
[1] Shannon & Wilson Inc, 400 N34th St, Seattle, WA 98013 USA
[2] Delta Stewardship Council, 980 9th St, Sacramento, CA 95814 USA
[3] Arcadis US Inc, 101 Creekside Court, Roseville, CA 95678 USA
[4] Environm Sci Associates, 550 Kearny St, San Francisco, CA USA
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D O I
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中图分类号
P5 [地质学];
学科分类号
0709 ; 081803 ;
摘要
This paper describes the methods and results of an uncertainty analysis of a flood damage assessment of the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and Suisun Marsh levees. The flood damage assessment included computation of expected annual damages (EAD) and expected annual fatalities (EAF) for 140 islands and tracts protected by more than 1,200 miles of levees. A first-order, second-moment method (Taylor series) was used to estimate the uncertainty in the EAD and EAF computed for each island and tract.
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页码:91 / 100
页数:10
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