Demographics and capital market returns

被引:8
|
作者
Arnott, RD [1 ]
Casscells, A
机构
[1] First Quadrant LP, Pasadena, CA USA
[2] Res Affiliates LLC, Pasadena, CA USA
[3] Aetos Capital LLC, Menlo Pk, CA USA
关键词
Investment Industry : future directions and sources of change; Financial Markets; other; Economics : macroeconomics;
D O I
10.2469/faj.v59.n2.2511
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
By 2010, longevity in the United States will have increased by nearly 15 years since 1940 but the retirement age for full Social Security and Medicare benefits will have increased by only a single year. As those of us in the Baby Boom approach "normal" retirement age, the population will contain nearly twice as many elderly people (over 65) relative to "normal" working-age people (age 20-65) as society has ever seen.(1) The simple fact is that moving from the current level of just under 3 workers per retiree to just over 1.5 workers per retiree is a likely formula for interclass and intergenerational rebellion; therefore, something will have to give.
引用
收藏
页码:20 / +
页数:11
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