Land use and land cover change, and analysis of its drivers in Ojoje watershed, Southern Ethiopia

There have been incredible changes that have taken place in the land use pattern globally over the last 50 years, which resulted from environmental degradation and climate change impacts. Quantitative analysis of the LULC dynamics helps in land-use management and ecosystem degradation at large. The study was conducted in the Doyogena district, southern Ethiopia to identify LULC change dynamics, and analyze the driving forces using combined approaches: remote sensing, field observations, in-depth household interviews, key informants, and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). A supervised maximum likelihood image cataloging method was employed in conjunction with feature extraction of satellite images to categorize and map LULC classes of the study area. Satellite image handing out, classification technique, and remotely sensed data were processed using ArcGIS map 10.6, and ERDAS Imagine 2014. Common LULC categories were identified, and a change analysis was conducted. Accordingly, seven LULC categories were determined. The result showed a considerable decline in forestland from 1756.7 ha (38.8%) in 1973 to 71.6 ha (1.6%) in 2020. Similarly, wetlands have declined successively from 16.8 in 2000-2010 to 6.3 in 1986-2020 ha/year over the last three and half decades respectively. On the other hand, cropland has increased from 34.1% in 1986-2000 to 46.3% between 1986-2020, which is linked to population growth, settlement, and expansion of farmlands. The study watershed has experienced a considerable change in LULC change over the last >3 decades. Hence, local and national regimes should implement sustainable land planning, management strategies including integrated land-use planning, and policy reform into development projects and programs.