An analysis on investment policy effect of China's photovoltaic industry based on feedback model

被引：33

作者：

Yuan, Chaoqing ^{[1
]}

Liu, Sifeng ^{[1
,3
]}

Yang, Yingjie ^{[2
]}

Chen, Ding ^{[1
]}

Fang, Zhigeng ^{[1
]}

Shui, Lulu ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Nanjing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Coll Econ & Management, Nanjing 211106, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

[2] De Montfort Univ, Ctr Computat Intelligence, Leicester LE1 9BH, Leics, England

[3] Nanjing Univ Aeronaut & Astronaut, Res Ctr Sci Dev, Nanjing 211106, Jiangsu, Peoples R China

来源：

APPLIED ENERGY | 2014年 / 135卷

关键词：

Photovoltaic industry; Investment policy; Effect; Feedback model; Subsidy; SOLAR-ENERGY; POWER; GENERATION; COUNTRIES; SUBSIDIES; BRAZIL;

D O I：

10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.08.103

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

China's photovoltaic industry developed sharply, and now it is the only country whose production covers the installed. Since R&D policy and deployment policy of China's PV industry should not increase its production, this paper focuses on impact of investment policy, regarded as subsidy, on the photovoltaic industry. Feedback model of China's photovoltaic industry is built, and the parameters of the model were estimated. And then simulation is done based on the model. The results show that the expansion is mainly caused by overreaction to the potential of the industry, but not the investment policy. In fact, investment policy only causes price fluctuations and industry overcapacity to some extent. Therefore, China's investment policy on PV industry investment should be reduced properly or even canceled, or at least it should be combined with deployment and R&D. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：423 / 428

页数：6

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