Simulating climate and energy policy with agent-based modelling: The Energy Modelling Laboratory (EMLab)

被引:55
|
作者
Chappin, Emile J. L. [1 ,2 ]
de Vries, Laurens J. [1 ]
Richstein, Joern C. [1 ,3 ]
Bhagwat, Pradyumna [1 ,4 ]
Iychettira, Kaveri [1 ]
Khan, Salman [1 ]
机构
[1] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Jaffalaan 5, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands
[2] Wuppertal Inst Climate Environm & Energy, Doppersberg 19, D-42103 Wuppertal, Germany
[3] DIW Berlin, Mohrenstr 58, D-10117 Berlin, Germany
[4] European Univ Inst, Florence Sch Regulat, RSCAS, Via Boccaccio 121, I-50133 Florence, Italy
关键词
Agent-based modelling; Energy transition; Energy and climate policy; Energy modelling laboratory; Investment; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.07.009
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
We present an approach to simulate climate and energy policy for the EU, using a flexible and modular agent-based modelling approach and a toolbox, called the Energy Modelling Laboratory (EMLab). The paper shortly reviews core challenges and approaches for modelling climate and energy policy in light of the energy transition. Afterwards, we present an agent-based model of investment in power generation that has addressed a variety of European energy policy questions. We describe the development of a flexible model core as well as modules on carbon and renewables policies, capacity mechanisms, investment behaviour and representation of intermittent renewables. We present an overview of modelling results, ongoing projects, a case study on current reforms of the EU ETS, and we show their relevance in the EU context. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:421 / 431
页数:11
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