Pattern-based Short-Term Load Forecasting using Optimized ANFIS with Cuckoo Search Algorithm

被引:0
|
作者
Mustapha, Mamunu [1 ]
Salisu, Sani [2 ]
Ibrahim, Abdullahi Abdu [3 ]
Almustapha, Muhammad Dikko [4 ]
机构
[1] Kano Univ Sci & Technol Wudil, Dept Elect Engn, Kano, Nigeria
[2] Ahmadu Bello Univ Zaria, Dept Elect Engn, Kaduna, Nigeria
[3] Altinbas Univ, Dept Comp Engn, Istanbul, Turkey
[4] Ahmadu Bello Univ Zaria, Dept Elect & Commun Engn, Kaduna, Nigeria
关键词
Load Forecasting; Cuckoo Search Algorithm; ANFIS; Pattern-based; Optimization; PARAMETERS;
D O I
10.1109/hora49412.2020.9152879
中图分类号
TP301 [理论、方法];
学科分类号
081202 ;
摘要
Accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) depends on proper data selection and model development. The research addresses the problem of data selection based on the energy consumption pattern using correlation analysis and hypothesis test. It also employed the use of Cuckoo Search Optimization algorithm (CSO) to improve Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) by replacing the Gradient Descent (GD) algorithm in the backward pass of the classical ANFIS model. The aim is to improve the forecasting error and enhance the forecasting time. Based on the conducted experiment CSO parameters for optimal performance of ANFIS were determined and utilized. Based on the results obtained it is observed that CSO-ANFIS with proposed data selection produced low Root Means Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
引用
收藏
页码:42 / 48
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Modified cuckoo search algorithm for short-term hydrothermal scheduling
    Thang Trung Nguyen
    Dieu Ngoc Vo
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS, 2015, 65 : 271 - 281
  • [32] Intelligent short-term load forecasting based on pattern-base
    Guo, Ying-Chun
    Niu, Dong-Xiao
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2008 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, VOLS 1-7, 2008, : 1282 - 1287
  • [33] Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on LS-SVM Optimized by Bacterial Colony Chemotaxis Algorithm
    Shi, Zhi-biao
    Li, Yang
    Yu, Tao
    2009 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION AND MULTIMEDIA TECHNOLOGY, PROCEEDINGS, 2009, : 306 - +
  • [34] Short-Term Load Forecasting Method using WaveNet based on Optimized Variational Mode Decomposition
    Yang, Xiaofeng
    Zhao, Shousheng
    Li, Kangyi
    Fan, Qiang
    Huang, Yuan
    Zhou, Daiming
    Xu, Zeshi
    2024 THE 7TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY, ELECTRICAL AND POWER ENGINEERING, CEEPE 2024, 2024, : 925 - 930
  • [35] Research on short-term load forecasting based on feature similarity using PSO algorithm
    Wei Xinquan
    Zheng Weiyan
    Duan Xiangjun
    2020 4TH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON RENEWABLE ENERGY AND DEVELOPMENT (IWRED 2020), 2020, 510
  • [36] Forecasting Daily Electricity Load by Wavelet Neural Networks Optimized by Cuckoo Search Algorithm
    Chen, Jeng-Fung
    Quang Hung Do
    2017 6TH IIAI INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON ADVANCED APPLIED INFORMATICS (IIAI-AAI), 2017, : 835 - 840
  • [37] A Water Quality Prediction Method Based on Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network Optimized by Cuckoo Search Algorithm
    Liu, Lingqi
    Zhao, Zhiyao
    Wang, Xiaoyi
    Peng, Linyuan
    2023 35TH CHINESE CONTROL AND DECISION CONFERENCE, CCDC, 2023, : 3205 - 3210
  • [38] ANN and ANFIS for Short Term Load Forecasting
    Shah, S.
    Nagraja, H. N.
    Chakravorty, Jaydeep
    ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGY & APPLIED SCIENCE RESEARCH, 2018, 8 (02) : 2818 - 2820
  • [39] Research of short-term load forecasting using DWT and LSSVM optimized by QDE
    Sun W.
    Sun J.
    Sun, Jingyi (sunjingyi0224@126.com), 1600, Science and Engineering Research Support Society (10): : 133 - 146
  • [40] Research on Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Optimized GRU Neural Network
    Li, Chao
    Guo, Quanjie
    Shao, Lei
    Li, Ji
    Wu, Han
    ELECTRONICS, 2022, 11 (22)