The exploratory analysis of trade-offs in strategic planning: Lessons from Regional Infrastructure Foresight

被引：30

作者：

Stoermer, E. ^{[1
]}

Truffer, B. ^{[1
]}

Dominguez, D. ^{[2
]}

Gujer, W. ^{[2
,3
]}

Herlyn, A. ^{[2
]}

Hiessl, H.

Kastenholz, H. ^{[4
]}

Klinke, A. ^{[1
]}

Markard, J. ^{[1
]}

Maurer, M. ^{[2
]}

Ruef, A. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol Eawag, Dept Innovat Res, Util Sectors, Zurich, Switzerland

[2] Dept Urban Water Management Res, Eawag, Switzerland

[3] ETH, Inst Environm Engn, Zurich, Switzerland

[4] Swiss Fed Inst Mat Sci & Technol Empa, Technol & Soc Unit, Zurich, Switzerland

来源：

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE | 2009年 / 76卷 / 09期

关键词：

Regional foresight; Strategic planning; Participation; Infrastructure; DECISION-MAKING; TRANSPORTATION; FUTURE; POLICY; WATER; SYSTEMS; DESIGN;

D O I：

10.1016/j.techfore.2009.07.008

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

The sustainable transformation of infrastructure sectors represents a challenge of prime importance worldwide. Due to long life times of infrastructures, strategic decision making has to explicitly consider uncertainties in context conditions, value considerations and available technological alternatives. However currently. strategic infrastructure planning is often carried out in a very narrow perspective. The present paper argues that foresight informed strategic planning, allows addressing trade-offs related to context uncertainties, value conflicts and sustainability deficits in a structured way. The paper introduces a specific procedural proposal, the Regional Infrastructure Foresight method (RIF) and illustrates its potential virtues through an application to urban water management planning in a Swiss region (Kiesental). (C) 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1150 / 1162

页数：13

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