Fractional model of COVID-19 applied to Galicia, Spain and Portugal

被引:64
|
作者
Ndairou, Faical [1 ,2 ]
Area, Ivan [2 ]
Nieto, Juan J. [3 ]
Silva, Cristiana J. [1 ]
Torres, Delfim F. M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Aveiro, Ctr Res & Dev Math & Applicat CIDMA, Dept Math, P-3810193 Aveiro, Portugal
[2] Univ Vigo, Dept Matemat Aplicada 2, EE Aeronaut & Espazo, Campus Ourense, Orense 32004, Spain
[3] Univ Santiago de Compostela, Inst Matemat, Santiago De Compostela 15782, Spain
关键词
Mathematical modelling of COVID-19; pandemic; Galicia; Spain and Portugal case studies; Fractional differential equations; Numerical simulations;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110652
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
A fractional compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease is proposed. Special focus has been done on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. Numerical simulations are shown for data of Galicia, Spain, and Portugal. For each region, the order of the Caputo derivative takes a different value, that is not close to one, showing the relevance of considering fractional models. ? 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:7
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