Information Use and the Condorcet Jury Theorem

被引:1
|
作者
Morimoto, Keiichi [1 ]
机构
[1] Meiji Univ, Sch Polit Sci & Econ, Chiyoda Ku, 1-1 Kanda Surugadai, Tokyo 1018301, Japan
关键词
Condorcet jury theorem; committee; coordination game; higher-order belief; monetary policy; COMMITTEES; TRANSPARENCY; AGGREGATION; ACQUISITION;
D O I
10.3390/math9101098
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Using a simple model of a coordination game, this paper explores how the information use of individuals affects an optimal committee size. Although enlarging the committee promotes information aggregation, it also stimulates the members' coordination motive and distorts their voting behavior through higher-order beliefs. On the determination of a finite optimal committee size, the direction and degree of strategic interactions matter. When the strategic complementarity among members is strong, a finite optimal committee size exists. In contrast, it does not exist under strategic substitution. This mechanism is applied to the design of monetary policy committees in a New Keynesian model in which a committee conducts monetary policy under imperfect information.
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页数:22
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