Coronal interaction regions;
coronal mass ejections;
solar cycle;
sunspot cycles;
SOLAR;
CLIMATE;
D O I:
暂无
中图分类号:
O [数理科学和化学];
P [天文学、地球科学];
Q [生物科学];
N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
Sunspots are the most obvious feature on the disturbed surface of the photosphere above the solar atmosphere and appear to play a key role in major solar and terrestrial disturbances. The solar source activity varies with a 11-year sunspot cycle. During solar activity maximum years, maximum transient solar activity (i.e. solar flares, solar proton events and coronal mass ejections) is released from the Sun and enters the earth's magnetosphere which is found to be responsible for producing large geomagnetic storms. In solar activity minimum years, a few geomagnetic storms are observed due to the presence of coronal interaction regions. We have studied the general characteristics of past solar cycles 1-23 and predicted about the present sunspot cycle 24. We conclude that sunspot cycle 24 is similar to sunspot cycle 22, peaking between September 2012 and February 2013. Solar maximum of sunspot cycle 24 may pose a great risk to satellite communication, space weather and result in geomagnetic hazards.
机构:
INPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, BrazilINPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil
Rigozo, N. R.
Souza Echer, M. P.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12245970 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, BrazilINPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil
Souza Echer, M. P.
Evangelista, H.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Univ Estado Rio de Janeiro, Lab Radioecol & Mudancas Globais, Dept Biofis & Biometria, BR-20550013 Rio De Janeiro, BrazilINPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil
Evangelista, H.
Nordemann, D. J. R.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12245970 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, BrazilINPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil
Nordemann, D. J. R.
Echer, E.
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Inst Nacl Pesquisas Espaciais, BR-12245970 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, BrazilINPE CRS, Ctr Reg Sul Pesquisas Especiais, BR-97105970 Santa Maria, RS, Brazil