RETRACTED: Advanced Computing Approach for Modeling and Prediction COVID-19 Pandemic (Retracted Article)

被引:4
|
作者
Morsi, Sami A. [1 ,2 ]
Alzahrani, Mohammad Eid [3 ]
机构
[1] King Faisal Univ, Appl Coll Abqaiq, POB 400, Al Hasa 31982, Saudi Arabia
[2] Al Neelain Univ, Khartoum, Sudan
[3] Al Baha Univ, Fac Comp Sci & Informat Technol, Al Baha, Saudi Arabia
关键词
MATHEMATICAL-THEORY; ROYAL SOCIETY; EPIDEMICS; ENDEMICITY;
D O I
10.1155/2022/6056574
中图分类号
R318 [生物医学工程];
学科分类号
0831 ;
摘要
The emergence of many strains of the coronavirus, including the latest omicron strain, which is spreading at a very high speed, is leading to the World Health Organization's (WHO) concern about the creation of this new mutation. Therefore, there is a strong motivation for modeling and predicting COVID-19 to control the number of cases of the disease. The proposed system for predicting the number of cases of COVID-19 can help governments take precautions to prevent the spread of the disease. In this paper, a statistical logistic growth model was employed to predict the spread of COVID-19 in Australia and Brazil. The datasets were collected from the surveillance systems in Australia and Brazil from March 13, 2020, to December 12, 2021, for 641 days. This proposed method used a tested logistic growth model for the complex spread of COVID-19 and forecasted future values within a time interval of six days. The results of the predicted, cumulative, confirmed cases indicate the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed system, which was categorized by time-dependent dynamics. The coefficient of determination (R) metric was used to evaluate the model to predict COVID-19, and the proposed system scored the highest correlation (R-2=99%). The proposed system has the potential to contribute to public health by making decisions about how to prevent the spread of COVID-19.
引用
收藏
页数:8
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