Study on Driving Forces of Small-scale Land Use Based on Logistic Regression Model A Case Study of Fubei Farm of Xinjiang Province

Land use/land cover change (LUCC) research has been given close attention during the past decade, because of the pivotal role of LUCC in many aspects like global climatic change, food security, soil degradation and biodiversity. The researches of land use change deal with different spatio-temporal scales, they are increasingly turning from global dimension towards regional demension reacarch. Taking the case of Fubei Farm of Xinjiang, this study analysed the driving forces of land use changes in small-scale through logistic regression analysis. The results show that: salinity crops area reduction is the driving force of output per unit area of land, soil organic matter content and groundwater salinity, the main reasons of the food crops area to reduce is net output per unit area, the driving factors of the economic crops area to increase are the net output per unit area and the total agricultural output value.