Are albumin levels a good predictor of mortality in elderly patients with neck of femur fractures?

Neck of femur (NOF) fractures are associated with significant morbidity and mortality in elderly people with multiple co-morbidities; making management of this patient subgroup challenging. Predictors of an increase in morbidity and mortality would therefore provide a useful framework for the assessment and management of this demographic. Within the current literature, hypoalbuminaemia (< 35g/dl) has been highlighted as being a good biochemical predictor of short-term mortality (< 12 months). Our aims were to assess whether there was an association between low albumin levels and mortality and whether the severity adversely affects outcomes. Patients admitted to our large district hospital between January 2011 and December 2012 who had sustained a NOF fracture, were over 65 years old and had a pre-operative albumin level were included. This retrospective, longitudinal, observational study concluded in July 2014. Demographic and pre-operative function and albumin data was collated retrospectively. An association with mortality was made. 471 patients had usable data. Mean pre-operative albumin level was 29.5g/dl (SD 6.22g/dl) in patients who died and 32.8g/dl (SD 6.43g/dl) in patients who survived during the study period. Pre-operative albumin level was significantly associated with survival (hazard ratio 0.957: 95% CI (0.937, 0.978); p < 0.001). Thus, a reduction of 1g/dl in pre-operative albumin is associated with an increased hazard of death of 4.3%. Early identification of patients with hypoalbuminaemia on admission with a venous blood sample and timely input from orthogeriatrians could optimise these patients pre- and post-operatively. This may enable rates of morbidity and mortality to fall. Hypoalbuminaemia may be a reasonable predictor of shorter-term mortality in this patient subgroup. However, this may reflect existing co-morbidities rather than an isolated cause. This study supports an association between hypoalbuminaemia and poorer outcome for patients with NOF fractures.