Relationships between period and cohort life expectancy: Gaps and lags

被引：55

作者：

Goldstein, Joshua R. ^{[1
]}

Wachter, Kenneth W.

机构：

[1] Princeton Univ, Off Populat Res, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

[2] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Demog, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

[3] Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Stat, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

来源：

POPULATION STUDIES-A JOURNAL OF DEMOGRAPHY | 2006年 / 60卷 / 03期

关键词：

expectation of life; mortality; demographic translation; period; cohort; Linear Shift Models; mathematical demography;

D O I：

10.1080/00324720600895876

中图分类号：

C921 [人口统计学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

This paper offers an empirical and analytic foundation for regarding period life expectancy as a lagged indicator of the experience of real cohorts in populations experiencing steady improvement in mortality. We find that current period life expectancy in the industrialized world applies to cohorts born some 40 - 50 years ago. Lags track an average age at which future years of life are being gained, in a sense that we make precise. Our findings augment Ryder's classic results on period-cohort translation.

引用

页码：257 / 269

页数：13

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