The complementary role of cross-sectional and time-series information in forecasting stock returns

被引:1
|
作者
Zhou, Qing [1 ,2 ]
Faff, Robert [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Queensland, UQ Business Sch, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia
[2] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Strathclyde, Dept Accounting & Finance, Glasgow, Lanark, Scotland
关键词
Combination; complementarity; forecasting; out-of-sample; stock returns; C53; C58; G11; G12; TECHNICAL TRADING RULES; COMBINING FORECASTS; EXPECTED RETURNS; PREDICTABILITY; COMBINATION; MODELS; PERFORMANCE; ALGORITHMS; PROFITS; ECONOMY;
D O I
10.1177/0312896215575888
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
While linear time-series models, technical analysis, and momentum models all extract information from past market data, they each interpret data differently. We test the informative role of three representative models and examine the trading performance of a combined forecasting model at the individual stock level. Our results indicate that these models all contain marginal information and complement each other. The combined trading model captures higher upward trending returns and provides the same downward trending returns compared with the buy-and-hold strategy.
引用
收藏
页码:113 / 139
页数:27
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