The complementary role of cross-sectional and time-series information in forecasting stock returns

被引:1
|
作者
Zhou, Qing [1 ,2 ]
Faff, Robert [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Queensland, UQ Business Sch, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia
[2] Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Management, Xian, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Strathclyde, Dept Accounting & Finance, Glasgow, Lanark, Scotland
关键词
Combination; complementarity; forecasting; out-of-sample; stock returns; C53; C58; G11; G12; TECHNICAL TRADING RULES; COMBINING FORECASTS; EXPECTED RETURNS; PREDICTABILITY; COMBINATION; MODELS; PERFORMANCE; ALGORITHMS; PROFITS; ECONOMY;
D O I
10.1177/0312896215575888
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
While linear time-series models, technical analysis, and momentum models all extract information from past market data, they each interpret data differently. We test the informative role of three representative models and examine the trading performance of a combined forecasting model at the individual stock level. Our results indicate that these models all contain marginal information and complement each other. The combined trading model captures higher upward trending returns and provides the same downward trending returns compared with the buy-and-hold strategy.
引用
收藏
页码:113 / 139
页数:27
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Cross-sectional and time-series determinants of momentum returns
    Jegadeesh, N
    Titman, S
    [J]. REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2002, 15 (01): : 143 - 157
  • [2] The Effect of Global Political Risk on Stock Returns: A Cross-Sectional and a Time-Series Analysis
    Vargas, Karen
    Gonzalez, Angelica
    Silva, Jesus
    [J]. INTELLIGENT COMPUTING, INFORMATION AND CONTROL SYSTEMS, ICICCS 2019, 2020, 1039 : 540 - 548
  • [3] Time-series and cross-sectional momentum in anomaly returns
    Wang, Feifei
    Yan, Xuemin
    Zheng, Lingling
    [J]. EUROPEAN FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 2021, 27 (04) : 736 - 771
  • [4] Relation between time-series and cross-sectional effects of idiosyncratic variance on stock returns
    Guo, Hui
    Savickas, Robert
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2010, 34 (07) : 1637 - 1649
  • [5] Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns: Is China different?
    Cheema, Muhammad A.
    Chiah, Mardy
    Man, Yimei
    [J]. PACIFIC-BASIN FINANCE JOURNAL, 2020, 64
  • [6] Time-series and cross-sectional excess comovement in stock indexes
    Kallberg, Jarl
    Pasquariello, Paolo
    [J]. JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE, 2008, 15 (03) : 481 - 502
  • [7] Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns: are Islamic stocks different?
    Cheema, Muhammad A.
    Nartea, Gilbert V.
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2018, 50 (54) : 5830 - 5845
  • [8] STOCK RETURN VARIATION AND EXPECTED DIVIDENDS - A TIME-SERIES AND CROSS-SECTIONAL ANALYSIS
    KOTHARI, SP
    SHANKEN, J
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 1992, 31 (02) : 177 - 210
  • [9] Forecasting the cross-sectional stock returns: Evidence from the United Kingdom
    Tran, Vu Hoang
    Duong, Khoa Dang
    Nguyen, Trung Nam
    Pham, Van Ngoc
    [J]. DECISION SCIENCE LETTERS, 2022, 11 (03) : 289 - 298
  • [10] Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns and market dynamics: evidence from Japan
    Cheema, Muhammad A.
    Nartea, Gilbert V.
    Szulczyk, Kenneth R.
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2018, 50 (23) : 2600 - 2612