Analytic expressions for predictive distributions in mixture autoregressive models

被引:7
|
作者
Boshnakov, Georgi N. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Manchester, Sch Math, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.spl.2009.04.009
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We show that the distributions of the multi-step predictors in mixture autoregressive models are also mixtures and specify them analytically. In the case of mixtures of Gaussian or stable distributions the multi-step distributions can be obtained by simple arithmetic manipulation on components' parameters. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1704 / 1709
页数:6
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