Currency crises: Are they all the same?

被引:83
|
作者
Kaminsky, Graciela L. [1 ]
机构
[1] George Washington Univ, Dept Econ, Washington, DC 20052 USA
关键词
currency crises; current account problems; over-borrowing syndrome; sovereign debt crises; sudden stops; self-fulfilling crises; early warnings of crises;
D O I
10.1016/j.jimonfin.2006.01.002
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
The plethora of currency crises around the world has fueled many theories on the causes of speculative attacks. The first-generation models focus on fiscal problems while the second-generation models emphasize countercyclical policies and self-fulfilling crises. In the 1990s, models pinpoint to financial excesses. With the crisis of Argentina in 2001, models of sovereign default have become popular again. While the theoretical literature has emphasized variety, the empirical literature has supported the "one size fits all" models. This paper contributes to the empirical literature by assessing whether the crises of the last 30 years are of different varieties. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:503 / 527
页数:25
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