The Required Confronting Approaches Efficacy and Time to Control COVID-19 Outbreak in Iran

被引：1

作者：

Olfatifar, Meysam ^{[1
]}

Houri, Hamidreza ^{[2
]}

Shojaee, Sajad ^{[1
]}

Pourhoseingholi, Mohamad Amin ^{[1
]}

Alali, Walid Q. ^{[3
]}

Busani, Luca ^{[4
]}

Ashtari, Sara ^{[1
]}

Shahrokh, Shabnam ^{[1
]}

Vahedian, Amir ^{[5
]}

Aghdaei, Hamid Asadzadeh ^{[6
]}

机构：

[1] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Gastroenterol & Liver Dis Res Ctr, Res Inst Gastroenterol & Liver Dis, Tehran, Iran

[2] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Foodborne & Waterborne Dis Res Ctr, Res Inst Gastroenterol & Liver Dis, Tehran, Iran

[3] Kuwait Univ, Fac Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Safat, Kuwait

[4] Ist Super Sanita, Dept Infect Dis, Rome, Italy

[5] Baqiyatallah Univ Med Sci, Trauma Res Ctr, Nursing Fac, Tehran, Iran

[6] Shahid Beheshti Univ Med Sci, Basic & Mol Epidemiol Gastrointestinal Disorders, Res Inst Gastroenterol & Liver Dis, Tehran, Iran

来源：

ARCHIVES OF CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES | 2020年 / 15卷

关键词：

COVID-19; Outbreak; Iran;

D O I：

10.5812/archcid.102633

中图分类号：

R51 [传染病];

学科分类号：

100401 ;

摘要：

The ongoing devastating epidemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Iran and the evolving public health situation is very concerning. We have developed a deterministic epidemiological SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered) model to quantify the required time and efficacy to bring the COVID-19 outbreak under control in Iran. Our results showed that the efficacy of COVID-19 confronting strategies on Feb 29th and March 9th were at 0.5 and 0.7, respectively owing to the relative equivalence number of infected cases estimated by the model and national officially reported cases. Therefore, to control the COVID-19 outbreak in Iran we strongly recommend maintaining the effectiveness of interventions at 0.7 or more at least for the next 4 - 6 weeks. Because the COVID-19 declining statistics over the next few days or weeks do not mean the definitive control of the outbreak.

引用

页数：4

共 50 条

[21] Confronting Covid-19 with agroecology
Gliessman, Steve
[J]. AGROECOLOGY AND SUSTAINABLE FOOD SYSTEMS, 2020, 44 (09) : 1115 - 1117
[22] Control of a COVID-19 Outbreak in a Spanish Prison: Lessons Learned in Outbreak Control
Vicente-Alcalde, Nancy
Ruescas-Escolano, Esther
Franco-Paredes, Carlos
Tuells, Jose
[J]. FRONTIERS IN MEDICINE, 2022, 9
[23] Confronting the COVID-19 surgery crisis: time for transformational change
Urbach, David R.
Martin, Danielle
[J]. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL, 2020, 192 (21) : E585 - E586
[24] The Impact of COVID-19 Outbreak on Nosocomial Infection Rate: A Case of Iran
Jabarpour, Maryam
Dehghan, Mahlagha
Afsharipour, Giti
Abaee, Elham Hajipour
Shahrbabaki, Parvin Mangolian
Ahmadinejad, Mehdi
Maazallahi, Mahboobeh
[J]. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES & MEDICAL MICROBIOLOGY, 2021, 2021
[25] The mental health impact of COVID-19 outbreak: a Nationwide Survey in Iran
Reza Shahriarirad
Amirhossein Erfani
Keivan Ranjbar
Amir Bazrafshan
Alireza Mirahmadizadeh
[J]. International Journal of Mental Health Systems, 15
[26] The mental health impact of COVID-19 outbreak: a Nationwide Survey in Iran
Shahriarirad, Reza
Erfani, Amirhossein
Ranjbar, Keivan
Bazrafshan, Amir
Mirahmadizadeh, Alireza
[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MENTAL HEALTH SYSTEMS, 2021, 15 (01)
[27] Beyond the Outbreak of COVID-19: Factors Affecting Burnout in Nurses in Iran
Zare, Sajad
Kazemi, Reza
Izadi, Abolhassan
Smith, Andrew
[J]. ANNALS OF GLOBAL HEALTH, 2021, 87 (01): : 1 - 8
[28] Changes in Child Discipline Strategies in Iran During the Outbreak of COVID-19
Farahzadi, Samin
Maarefvand, Masoomeh
Poursaadati, Maryam Zabihi
[J]. JOURNAL OF SCHOOL NURSING, 2023, 39 (02): : 162 - 171
[29] Investigation of the urbanization contribution to the COVID-19 outbreak in Iran and the MECA countries
Nikta Bahman Bijari
Mohammad Hadi Mahdinia
Mohammad Reza Mansouri Daneshvar
[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2021, 23 : 17964 - 17985
[30] Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Iran: Actions and problems
Abdi, Milad
[J]. INFECTION CONTROL AND HOSPITAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, 2020, 41 (06): : 754 - 755

← 1 2 3 4 5 →